(GASPS)
I'm fascinated by a question
and I know I'm not the only one.
That question is,
what should economies be aimed at?
I studied economics at university
20 years ago
and we never actually asked
that question,
even though it seems like
a fundamental one.
The answer was a given.
It was "economic growth".
Over the past years, though,
economic growth has had a good ride.
Since 1970, it's quadrupled.
(CHEERING)
If you believe
mainstream predictions,
it's set to quadruple again by 2050
on the global scale.
So, economic growth has been doing
nicely in the long-term big picture,
and yet there are things
that we fundamentally care about
that aren't coming along with it.
There are three I want to highlight.
More and more social commentators
are talking about
the rise of inequality
and the importance of tackling it.
Two-thirds of
the world's population today
live in countries that are more
unequal than they were in 1980.
Taking one country as an example,
in 2010,
the top richest 10% of people
in the United States
captured 93% of the increase
in national income that year.
So, inequality is really
quite extraordinarily
at the heart
of the way economies are growing.
Our politicians know it.
We're hung up
on talking about economic growth,
but because they know
that this one lever
doesn't really capture
everything we care about,
they're increasingly trying
to qualify what they're calling for
with extra terms.
Merkel has called for
"sustainable growth",
David Cameron for
"balanced growth",
Barack Obama for
"long-term lasting growth".
Barroso wants the EU to have
"smart, sustainable,
inclusive and resilient growth".
All these terms! Sometimes, I feel
like I'm in a New York deli bar.
So many different terms
are being added to this idea.
It's clear that we want
something more than growth.
The fact that we want something more
shouldn't seem like news.
When the very idea of national
income and its growth was conceived,
its inventor warned us that
we needed something more than that.
In 1934, when Simon Kuznets wrote
the first report to the US Congress
describing how you could measure
national income, he said,
"The wealth of a nation
can scarcely be inferred
"from a measure
of its national income."
He gave us that caveat on day one.
No wonder our politicians are
grasping for the language they need
to describe where
we're trying to go.
Growth isn't enough, as an idea,
of what we're trying to achieve.
What if instead of starting
with economic growth,
we start with the fundamentals
of what we care about -
everyone meeting their human rights,
living within the means
of this planet - and then we ask,
what kind of economic system
would help to take us there?
One thing is true -
we need to widen our concept
of what economic development is,
far beyond growth alone.
We need to think about investing
in the wealth that sustains us -
the human wealth, the natural
wealth and the social wealth.
It's from these that everything that
we generate in our economy flows.
(DING DING)